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SECWeek 7

Florida at Texas

Florida (4-2) at Texas (4-1) · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Week 7

Texas is favored at -400 with the spread at Texas -10.5 and the total at 52.5.

Florida
Texas
Call it with play money on The Sharp:Pick FloridaPick Texas
Preview

South Carolina at No. 16 Florida: Gators Try to Steady Things at Home

A ranked Florida team with slipping outside standing hosts a .500 South Carolina side looking to turn its season in a noon SEC Network window.

No. 16 Florida returns to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday with something to prove. The Gators are 4-2 and still carry a ranking, but the outside view of them has cooled this week. According to reports, Florida has dropped out of ESPN's SP+ top 25, and CBS Sports' projected rankings have the Gators falling as well. Bowl projections from outlets such as Athlon Sports have also been revised, per reports. A home date with an SEC opponent is the cleanest way to change that conversation.

South Carolina arrives at 3-3, a record that leaves the Gamecocks right on the line between a season that drifts and one that can still be shaped. A road win over a ranked conference opponent would be the kind of result that resets the outlook for the second half. For Florida, the task is simpler to state than to execute: protect home field, take care of a team with a worse record and keep its place in the poll.

No individual players were listed for this matchup, so the story here is about the two programs rather than any single name. Florida's standing in the rankings and in the postseason picture is the thread running through every report this week, and how the Gators respond at home will say a good deal about where their season goes from here.

Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM ET on SEC Network. As for the market, the only line provided this week refers to Texas rather than this game, and no spread or total was supplied for South Carolina at Florida, so there is no number to report for this matchup.

Prices

11 venues · refreshed every 10 min
VenueMoneylineSpreadTotal
FloridaTexasFloridaTexasOverUnder
NovigNovig+355-400+10.5-104-10.5-10452.5-10852.5-102
DraftKingsDraftKings+330-425+10.5-108-10.5-11252.5-11052.5-110
FanDuelFanDuel+315-410+10.5-110-10.5-11052.5-11052.5-110
BetMGMBetMGM+320-425+10.5-108-10.5-11052.5-10852.5-110
bet365bet365+335-495+11-120-11-10952.5-11652.5-114
BetRiversBetRivers+325-455+10.5-112-10.5-11052.5-11252.5-112
Hard Rock BetHard Rock Bet+325-425+10.5-110-10.5-11052.5-11052.5-110
theScore BettheScore Bet+340-450+11.5-110-11.5-11052.5-11052.5-110
FanaticsFanatics+325-425+10.5-110-10.5-11053-11053-110
PinnaclePinnacle+323-435+10.5-107-10.5-10952.5-11452.5-104
PolymarketPolymarket+355-376––––

Best price on each side is marked. A spread or total shown with its own number is quoted at a different line.

Player props

Main lines at the sportsbooks, best price on each side.

PlayerLineOverUnder
Arch Manning
Passing yards
249.5-105DraftKings
Aaron Philo
Passing yards
199.5-109DraftKings
Cam Coleman
Receiving yards
69.5+103DraftKings
Ryan Wingo
Receiving yards
59.5-101DraftKings
Dallas Wilson
Receiving yards
49.5+101DraftKings
Emmett Mosley V
Receiving yards
46.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Vernell Brown III
Receiving yards
39.5-106DraftKings
Bailey Stockton
Receiving yards
31.5-115DraftKings
Jadan Baugh
Rushing yards
79.5-109DraftKings
Hollywood Smothers
Rushing yards
62.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Arch Manning
Rushing yards
24.5-103DraftKings

The Sharp Desk on this game

All picks
The Quant
Ex hedge-fund quant
Pending
Florida at Texas· Sat, Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Spread
Texas -10.5
+108
Novig

Texas -10.5 at +108 implies about 48 percent, and a plus price on a ranked home favorite against a 4-2 Florida team that just dropped out of the poll is where I see a small edge. My rough estimate is 50 to 51 percent, a gap of two to three points. The narrative about Texas losing to Oklahoma is one game, and I do not reprice a team on a sample of one.

The Fade
Retired bookie
Pending
Florida at Texas· Sat, Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Spread
Florida +10.5
-110
FanDuel

The Quant is laying double digits with a Texas team that just got pushed around by Oklahoma, and the Gators come in unranked with their coach's postgame comments drawing heat. That is exactly the kind of ugly, unloved underdog I want, especially when the headline everyone remembers is Texas, not the number. Ten and a half is a lot of points to hand a 4-2 SEC team that the crowd has already written off.

Watching from Texas?
Texas has no legal online or retail sportsbook; the 2025 legislative session ended without passing one, and the Legislature does not meet again until 2027.
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