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SECWeek 7

Mississippi State at LSU

Mississippi State (4-1) at LSU (4-2) · Tiger Stadium · Week 7

LSU is favored at -456 with the spread at LSU -14.5 and the total at 58.5.

Mississippi State
LSU
Call it with play money on The Sharp:Pick Mississippi StatePick LSU
Preview

No. 10 LSU at Kentucky: Tigers Carry the Ranking Into Kroger Field

A two-loss top-10 LSU visits a 5-1 Kentucky team with the better record, and the noon kickoff will test which résumé holds up.

No. 10 LSU arrives at Kroger Field on Saturday with the ranking, but Kentucky arrives with the better record. The Tigers are 4-2 and already carrying two losses into the middle of October. Another one would make it hard to stay in the top 10. Kentucky is 5-1 and playing at home, and that gives the Wildcats a real chance to be taken seriously in the conference race. Kickoff is set for noon ET on ESPN.

The question is whether LSU's talent edge outweighs what the records say. The Tigers have been ranked all along despite their two defeats, and that tells you how highly the pollsters rate their roster. Kentucky has played its way into this spot by winning the games in front of it. An early kickoff at home, in front of a crowd that has watched its team win five of six, takes away some of the comfort a road favorite usually has.

No individual players are listed on this week's board, so this one looks like a team matchup. For LSU, the job is to show that its losses were the exception. For Kentucky, the job is to show that its record means something against a ranked opponent. The team that controls the line of scrimmage and avoids short fields should have the advantage in what the market expects to be a game with plenty of points.

The market still trusts LSU. The Tigers are 10.5-point favorites, and the total sits at 59.5. That line says the Tigers are expected to win comfortably on the road. Kentucky's record suggests the home team will see it differently, and the gap between those two views is what makes this game worth watching.

Prices

11 venues · refreshed every 10 min
VenueMoneylineSpreadTotal
StateLSUStateLSUOverUnder
NovigNovig+413-456+14.5-111-14.5+10858.5-10458.5-106
DraftKingsDraftKings+400-535+14-112-14-10858.5-11058.5-110
FanDuelFanDuel+400-550+14.5-118-14.5-10458.5-11058.5-110
BetMGMBetMGM+400-525+14-110-14-10858.5-10858.5-110
bet365bet365+400-662+14-118-14-11158.5-11458.5-116
BetRiversBetRivers+410-590+14-108-14-11558-12258+100
Hard Rock BetHard Rock Bet+425-600+14.5-120-14.5-10558.5-11558.5-105
theScore BettheScore Bet+400-600+14.5-120-14.5+10058.5-10558.5-115
FanaticsFanatics+410-550+14-110-14-11058.5-11058.5-110
PinnaclePinnacle+400-570+14-111-14-10559-10259-116
PolymarketPolymarket+456-488––––

Best price on each side is marked. A spread or total shown with its own number is quoted at a different line.

Player props

Main lines at the sportsbooks, best price on each side.

PlayerLineOverUnder
Sam Leavitt
Passing yards
242.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Anthony Evans III
Receiving yards
69.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Winston Watkins
Receiving yards
59.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Sanfrisco Magee
Receiving yards
33.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Eugene Wilson III
Receiving yards
29.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Jayce Brown
Receiving yards
19.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Dilin Jones
Rushing yards
87.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel
Sam Leavitt
Rushing yards
31.5-114FanDuel-114FanDuel

The Sharp Desk on this game

All picks
Film Room
Former linebacker, TV analyst
Pending
Mississippi State at LSU· Sat, Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Spread
Mississippi State +11.5
-102
Novig

I keep coming back to the rankings: No. 16 Mississippi State at 4-1 is getting 11.5 points from No. 22 LSU, a 4-2 team coming off an overtime loss to Kentucky. The week in Baton Rouge has been about the head coach's comments on the officials rather than the film, and that is not where you want the focus heading into a ranked conference game. I am not saying the Bulldogs win outright, but two touchdowns minus a hook is a lot of cushion in a game this close on paper.

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